About Research

At CAFRAL, we pursue frontier research in finance and macroeconomics to study the forces shaping India’s financial and economic landscape. Our work covers institutions, markets, corporate and household finance, and macro-financial policy. Using rich data and advanced econometric and computational methods, we produce research that combines analytical rigor with policy insight - advancing research that underpins India’s financial resilience and contributes to shaping policies for sustainable and inclusive growth.

Publications
CAFRAL advances policy-relevant financial research in India through its key publications. Its flagship India Finance Report, offers evidence-based insights into the Indian financial system. CAFRAL also publishes a Working Paper Series, featuring high-quality research on finance, economics, and public policy, with a focus on India and emerging markets.
Research Papers
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CAFRAL’s research mission is rooted in rigorous academic inquiry in key areas such as financial networks and stability, bond markets, corporate finance, behavioural finance, household finance, and more.

Policy Papers
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CAFRAL’s policy research focuses on addressing contemporary challenges for today’s financial decision-makers, including areas such as bank regulation, bond markets, monetary policy, and more.

 
Research Team

The CAFRAL Research team comprises of researchers specializing in applied finance, international trade, macroeconomic policy, corporate finance, and development economics. Their varied expertise drives research that is rigorous, evidence-based with a strong policy relevance.

Conferences
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Events
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Seminar
Financially Constrained Procurement
Abstract: We investigate how local governments’ financial constraints affect competition in public procurement and real outcomes. Using detailed procurement data from Brazilian municipalities and population-based discontinuities in federal transfers, we find that higher transfers increase tender frequency, size, and local governments’ ability to pay suppliers on time. In turn, this encourages smaller suppliers’ entry into the bidding process and increases competition, resulting in lower procurement prices. Supplier competition induces large price reductions for essential goods, public servic...
Thu, 13th Nov, 2025
 
Reserve Bank of India, Kalpavriksh Auditorium, Ground Floor, Mumbai Regional Office, Fort, Mumbai
Seminar
Credit Enforcement, Misallocation, and Income Disparities across Indian States
Abstract: This paper evaluates the role of enforcement of credit contracts in explaining the income per capita disparities across Indian states. Firstly, I develop and calibrate a dynamic heterogeneous-agents general equilibrium model, featuring voluntary and involuntary entrepreneurs, to capture how variation in credit contract enforcement shapes financial access, occupational choices, and the allocation of factors of production. In the model, state-specific enforcement capacity generates endogenous borrowing constraints that affect individuals’ access to credit, the potential scale of firm...
Wed, 15th Oct, 2025
 
Reserve Bank of India, Nalanda, 15th Floor, Central Office Building, Fort, Mumbai
Seminar
Household Portfolio and Deposit Insurance: Implications for the Supply of Safe Assets
Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of deposit insurance (DI) on household portfolio allocation between bank deposits and risky assets. Theoretically, limited DI creates a kink in the capital allocation line, causing depositor bunching at the DI threshold and increased equity holdings. Using a natural experiment in India and individual holdings on stocks, deposits, and mutual funds, we confirm depositor bunching at the DI threshold. Leveraging a bunching-in-differences design, we show that DI expansion shifts portfolios from equities and mutual funds to deposits, driven by unmet dem...
Fri, 10th Oct, 2025
 
CAFRAL, Conference Room, Ground Floor, BKC, Mumbai
Seminar
Home bias: Do Regional Feds overweight headquarters housing prices?
Abstract: Do signals from ‘closer to home’ have outsized salience in the formation of expert judgments? We investigate this hypothesis by examining the sentiment about residential housing expressed by presidents of US Federal Reserve Banks in the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee. While sentiment about the regional residential housing market is strongly correlated with the conditions in the Federal Reserve District, we find that it is dominated by the housing price growth in their headquarters. We uncover evidence suggesting that the strength of social ties could drive this ‘home...
Mon, 15th Sep, 2025
 
Reserve Bank of India, Kalpavriksh Auditorium, Ground Floor, Mumbai Regional Office, Fort, Mumbai
Seminar
Seminar on Building New Human Capital in Weak Education Systems: What Works, What Doesn’t, and Does It Matter
Abstract: The literature on the “New” human capital highlights the critical role of higher order cognitive skills, personal skills -curiosity, being entrepreneurial, aspirational as well socio-emotional skills. While recent literature suggests they can be taught, how to impart these skills in low capacity settings is a challenge. We present results from three large Randomized Control Trial experiments based on different pedagogy interventions in public schools of three states of India (Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh and Andhra Pradesh). The interventions target various broad aspects of human cap...
Wed, 10th Sep, 2025
 
CAFRAL, Mumbai
Seminar
Frosty Climate, Icy Relationships: Cold and Intimate Partner Violence in Rural Peru
Abstract: Violence against women --- in particular, Intimate Partner Violence (IPV) --- is a health concern for women across the world. We study the effect of cold exposure on IPV among Peruvian women. Using a dataset that matches women to weather exposure, we find that cold shocks increase IPV: 10 degree hours below -9C increases the probability of experiencing domestic violence by 0.5 pp. These effects are larger for more extreme temperature thresholds. We then provide evidence that cold influences IPV through two main channels. First, extreme cold reduces income. Second, extreme cold ...
Wed, 16th Jul, 2025
 
CAFRAL, Conference Room, Ground Floor, BKC, Mumbai
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